Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 140.956271 162.954322 188.470331 220.548631 260.218600 308.228370 3.715983e+02
2025-05-25 111.144213 138.431763 173.480111 222.893343 292.633264 390.620929 5.447330e+02
2025-06-01 93.920430 122.681497 162.165437 222.366962 315.799531 462.901606 7.300558e+02
2025-06-08 81.471271 110.203417 151.655318 218.786291 331.196263 525.880161 9.278067e+02
2025-06-15 75.242930 105.145092 150.355247 227.985014 368.269194 636.735891 1.275980e+03
2025-06-22 66.158600 94.410667 138.451245 217.080568 366.791969 674.393815 1.489836e+03
2025-06-29 60.593696 88.310320 132.874498 215.705031 382.360521 752.358884 1.861862e+03
2025-07-06 56.108916 83.339000 128.368241 215.231836 399.359173 840.302050 2.342092e+03
2025-07-13 54.416120 82.672920 131.007000 228.593350 449.478934 1033.453272 3.409707e+03
2025-07-20 53.343860 82.878282 135.135128 245.666544 513.718299 1303.801298 5.282421e+03
2025-07-27 50.454082 79.602192 132.397065 247.789285 541.941302 1482.993693 7.127337e+03
2025-08-03 48.247796 77.304576 131.194693 253.012775 580.230505 1724.745255 1.016683e+04
2025-08-10 44.884265 72.860508 125.803843 249.014057 595.620890 1911.160553 1.384872e+04
2025-08-17 42.475920 69.994742 123.303599 251.677517 633.414239 2237.980196 2.165321e+04
2025-08-24 40.040121 66.826195 119.760270 251.057549 661.138428 2555.157118 3.352113e+04
2025-08-31 37.569386 63.358151 115.162907 246.858356 675.674278 2827.639984 5.035355e+04
2025-09-07 36.522702 62.558565 116.165049 257.652902 749.310858 3575.634600 1.161083e+05
2025-09-14 33.838012 58.279628 109.046446 244.859253 728.176892 3654.315114 1.558732e+05
2025-09-21 32.187253 55.955072 106.062929 243.247713 752.085921 4132.523853 3.127254e+05
2025-09-28 30.751511 53.953123 103.595544 242.693452 780.906637 4727.714563 7.815750e+05
2025-10-05 30.426789 54.206829 106.361864 258.367578 891.445525 6463.657660 1.289475e+07
2025-10-12 30.306790 54.873719 110.194689 278.465017 1039.629845 9415.021296 NaN
2025-10-19 29.240010 53.423302 108.694919 280.969042 1099.005711 11470.538120 NaN